What is happening these days on Capitol Hill? Since the beginning of July, three House members have abruptly quit while another made a surprise announcement that he would not be running for reelection after all. No waiting around for the election for any of them; merely a simple and quick good bye.
It is hard to escape the conclusion that Democrats in the South – on the skids for the last generation or two – have not hit bottom yet. For the second time in two election cycles, a state party in the region has a Senate nominee who it is embarrassed to embrace.
About half of the presidential elections over the last half century have been impacted by a significant third party or independent candidate. This election is unlikely to be one of them.
The 2012 congressional primary season is barely under way. But it is already a virtual certainty that the number of incumbent House casualties in this nominating season will be the highest in 20 years.